Ball State +23 3.3* play
I really like Ball State here tonight back at home, after not covering the spread 2 weeks in a row. They've given up 48 and 54 points on the road the last two weeks, so the perception is and should be bad defense, against better offense, but Bowling Green has absolutely nothing to play for here. Bowling Green is already in the MAC Championship and have a history of laying down when they don't have much to play for. I think it's more important for them to rest their players than to beat Ball State. Ball State has room for optimism too, this is a much better team at home, they also have a lot to look forward to with their QB Riley Neal, who even played well at Ohio last week in the losing effort. It's this team's last home game, and I could easily see Ball State sticking around late in this one.